NOAA predicts another busy Atlantic hurricane season

New York Post

05-21-2021

The U.S. is likely to be hit with another “above-normal” Atlantic hurricane season in 2021. Based on the update, an average hurricane season would produce 14 named storms, including seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes. The Atlantic hurricane season officially begins on June 1 and runs through Nov. 30. This combination of satellite images provided by the National Hurricane Center shows 30 hurricanes which occurred during the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season. “The National Hurricane Center has been a great partner with FEMA for the longest period of time, right?

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62.41% objective
55.82% positive

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WEATHER - 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season Expected to Be Busier Than Average, NOAA Says
-8.7% LESS objective
-6.56% LESS positive

The 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be more active than usual, according to an outlook released Thursday by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. It will update the 2021 seasonal outlook in August prior to the historical peak of the Atlantic season. (MORE: 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season Names)A record 30 named storms formed in the 2020 hurricane season, 14 of which became hurricanes. La Niña has ended and NOAA's Climate Prediction Center noted that ENSO-neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) will likely continue through the summer. "Our best estimate is that we will likely not have El Niño conditions for the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season," Klotzbach said.

AOL - U.S. government forecasts above-normal 2021 Atlantic hurricane season
6.23% MORE objective
-15.51% LESS positive

By Erwin SebaHOUSTON (Reuters) -The U.S. government on Thursday forecast an above-normal 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, which is already off to an early start with a storm expected to form off Bermuda this week. The average for tropical cyclones in the Atlantic between 1991 and 2020 is three major hurricanes, seven hurricanes and 14 tropical storms. The 2020 hurricane season was the most active on record and produced 30 named tropical storms. Although the hurricane season officially begins on June 1 and continues through Nov. 30, tropical storms in May are not unusual. “In recent years, we've had quite a few storms form prior to June 1,” said Philip Klotzbach, who leads Atlantic hurricane season forecasting at Colorado State University.

MSN - First storms of hurricane season 2021 may be forming in the Gulf and Atlantic; heavy rain coming to Texas, Louisiana
-1.23% LESS objective
-6.84% LESS positive

The 2021 tropical storm and hurricane season – which doesn't officially begin until June 1 – appears to be jumping the gun yet again. © National Hurricane Center Two separate storms could form over the next day or so in the Atlantic Ocean (in red) and in the Gulf of Mexico (in orange), the National Hurricane Center said. It's not expected to approach the hyperactive season of last year, however, when 30 named storms formed, including 14 hurricanes. There’s a 60% chance that this hurricane season will be busier than normal and only a 10% chance it will be below normal, NOAA said. About half the years in the last decade have had named storms before the June 1 start of hurricane season.

YAHOO - NOAA says we’re in for another active hurricane season, with 6 to 10 hurricanes
-5.96% LESS objective
-4.42% LESS positive

The 2021 hurricane season looks like it’ll be another active one, NOAA says, but not quite as bad as last year. “We do not expect the 2021 hurricane season to be as active as 2020,” said Matthew Rosencrans, the hurricane season outlook lead at NOAA’s climate prediction center. Last year there were 30 named storms, 14 of which were hurricanes and a record-breaking 7 of which were major hurricanes. One of the most influential factors in whether a season is active or not is a phenomenon called El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Story continuesForecasts show another ‘well above average’ hurricane season is likely this yearBoth NOAA and CSU’s forecasts take into account the “new normal” for hurricanes.