U.S. government forecasts above-normal 2021 Atlantic hurricane season

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05-20-2021

By Erwin SebaHOUSTON (Reuters) -The U.S. government on Thursday forecast an above-normal 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, which is already off to an early start with a storm expected to form off Bermuda this week. The average for tropical cyclones in the Atlantic between 1991 and 2020 is three major hurricanes, seven hurricanes and 14 tropical storms. The 2020 hurricane season was the most active on record and produced 30 named tropical storms. Although the hurricane season officially begins on June 1 and continues through Nov. 30, tropical storms in May are not unusual. “In recent years, we've had quite a few storms form prior to June 1,” said Philip Klotzbach, who leads Atlantic hurricane season forecasting at Colorado State University.

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66.30% objective
47.16% positive

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WEATHER - Hurricane Season Could Start Early for 7th Year in a Row With the Potential Formation of Subtropical Storm Near Bermuda
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Atlantic hurricane season could be off to an early start for the seventh straight year with the potential formation of a subtropical storm near Bermuda. First up on the 2021 hurricane season named storm list is Ana, followed by Bill. This subtropical storm is forecast to be short-lived as it pinwheels west and then southwest in the general direction of Bermuda. Tropical Storm Arlene developed even earlier than Alberto and, in 2017, became only the second April Atlantic tropical storm of record. But that was preceded by eastern Atlantic Hurricane Alex, only the second known January Atlantic hurricane.

NEW YORK POST - NOAA predicts another busy Atlantic hurricane season
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The U.S. is likely to be hit with another “above-normal” Atlantic hurricane season in 2021. Based on the update, an average hurricane season would produce 14 named storms, including seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes. The Atlantic hurricane season officially begins on June 1 and runs through Nov. 30. This combination of satellite images provided by the National Hurricane Center shows 30 hurricanes which occurred during the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season. “The National Hurricane Center has been a great partner with FEMA for the longest period of time, right?

CBC - Above-normal number of Atlantic hurricanes forecast for 2021 season
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17.66% MORE positive

The Canadian Hurricane Centre is forecasting an active hurricane season for 2021 on the heels of the most active hurricane season on record last year. Robichaud said NOAA is predicting between 13 and 20 named storms in 2021. He said typically about 34 per cent of named storms, or four on average, find their way into Canadian waters. The World Meteorological Organization has already issued the list of hurricane names for 2021 from a list that is rotated every six years. There have been 19 named storms in May since 1950, according to Philip Klotzbach, who leads Atlantic hurricane season forecasting at Colorado State University.

MSN - First storms of hurricane season 2021 may be forming in the Gulf and Atlantic; heavy rain coming to Texas, Louisiana
-7.03% LESS objective
10.26% MORE positive

The 2021 tropical storm and hurricane season – which doesn't officially begin until June 1 – appears to be jumping the gun yet again. © National Hurricane Center Two separate storms could form over the next day or so in the Atlantic Ocean (in red) and in the Gulf of Mexico (in orange), the National Hurricane Center said. It's not expected to approach the hyperactive season of last year, however, when 30 named storms formed, including 14 hurricanes. There’s a 60% chance that this hurricane season will be busier than normal and only a 10% chance it will be below normal, NOAA said. About half the years in the last decade have had named storms before the June 1 start of hurricane season.